Day Trading Economic News Analysis: April 14, 2010
S&P 500 Pivots
The S&P started falling to a low of 1189 before ending the day up 1 to the 1197 level. On Monday the S&P 500 reached a new 52 week high of 1199 as the afternoon kicked off earnings season with the announcement of Alcoa. Alcoa ended up nearly flat on Tuesday’s trading.
Wednesday’s primary pivot is 1195. Expect the market to trade between 1193 and 1197. Any trading outside this range could indicate trend changes pushing the index to new intraday highs or lows. The S&P 500 has been trending upward consistently on the daily charts.
Now that the Dow Jones has reached the 11,000 level the market is currently watching the S&P 500 1200 level. The last time it has reached this level was in 2008 so it is a major technical as well as psychological level for traders and investors. It was the level where the S&P held before the credit crisis occurred.
Summary of pivot levels:
1199: S&P 500 52 week high
1193 – 1197: Convergence of 8, 21, 55, 144 and 200 Fibonacci moving averages on 5 min
1194: Monday’s previous high
1189: Tuesday previous low
Commodities Analysis: Gold and Crude
Gold finished down $1 to $1153 as gold imports are up in India ahead of the one million weddings planned between April and May. Major of gold stocks within the sector were lower:
ABX (-0.81%) AEM (-1.19%) AU (-1.70%) AUY (-0.86%)
FCX (+0.52 %) GG (-0.79%) HMY (-2.61%) NEM (+0.43%)
A trading strategy for gold includes buying calls on SPDR Gold Trust (ETF: GLD). On the daily chart gold broke through the trading range above 1220 set in early December 2009.
Crude oil fell $0.45 to $83.89. The dollar gained slightly against the euro. If the dollar continues to trend higher against the euro then expect prices in crude oil to fall. On the 60 day chart crude oil looks to be tipping over as traders are expected to take profits.
Previously the OPEC cartel announced that it will keep oil output ceiling unchanged as it will keep its profit from the falling dollar. Oil was currently trading sideways between the $80 and $81 however it has regained its footing reinforcing OPEC’s decision of keeping oil output the same.
Forex Analysis: Dollar Vs Euro
The euro rallied over the weekend after euro zone finance ministers reached an agreement for the Greek aid package. However the euro came off its highs after the question of whether the package will have any effect or just plain grand standing.
GE is investing 340 million Euros ($460 million) to expand European wind operations. Companies buying into foreign currencies for purchases and investing increase the demand towards that country’s currency. However the Euro gains are being cut short as Greece struggles with issues on their debt.
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Shamim Ziyaaudhin is one of the editors of TraderMongers.com and TraderMongers Blogger a one stop trading news feed source for worldwide traders and investors. Their philosophy is to establish the standard for providing market news feed that is comprehensive, accurate, and concise. Providing technical and fundamental trading setups, economic numbers, and calendar events throughout the trading day. Shamim has a Masters in Business Administration from Fairleigh Dickinson University and holds a degree in Psychology from Rutgers University. Click here to subscribe to Tradermongers E- News

